SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
| 13 | RKC Waalwijk | 33 | -13 | 35 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 57.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
57.57% ( 0.21) | 22.12% ( 0.21) | 20.3% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 55.06% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.47% ( -1.52) | 43.53% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.08% ( -1.5) | 65.92% ( 1.5) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.44) | 14.86% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.8% ( -0.85) | 43.2% ( 0.85) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.67% ( -1.28) | 35.33% ( 1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.91% ( -1.36) | 72.09% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.5) 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 6.31% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.74% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.41% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.12% | 0-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | FC Twente | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 25 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 33 | 8 | 25 | 23 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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