Sunday's meeting will be the first time since 2016 that the Frisian derby has taken place in front of fans after the reverse fixture was played in an empty stadium.
Although form can go out the window in derby matches, such has been Cambuur's drop off in form in the second half of the season, we think that they will be unable to trouble Heerenveen, who have won their previous two home games.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.72%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 0-1 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
