SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 33 | 79 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV Eindhoven | 33 | 43 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | NEC | 33 | -13 | 38 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 33 | -15 | 38 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 89.48%. A draw had a probability of 7.1% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 3.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 1-2 (1.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
89.48% ( -2.59) | 7.13% ( 1.61) | 3.39% ( 0.99) |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( 1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 81.82% ( -3.08) | 18.18% ( 3.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 64.51% ( -4.67) | 35.5% ( 4.67) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.59% ( -0.67) | 2.42% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 88.57% ( -2.62) | 11.43% ( 2.63) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.78% ( 2.16) | 49.22% ( -2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 15.89% ( 1.49) | 84.11% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ajax | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 3-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.3) 4-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.55)2-0 @ 8.27% ( 0.9)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.64)5-0 @ 7.14% ( -1.09)4-1 @ 6.79% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.95)5-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.42)1-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.81)6-0 @ 4.43% ( -1.13)6-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.56)3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.37)4-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.16)7-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.87)5-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)7-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.48)6-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.12)8-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.54)Other @ 4.21% Total : 89.47% | 1-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.44)0-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.72% Total : 7.13% | 1-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.31) Other @ 2.28% Total : 3.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
