SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 33 | 43 | 71 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 33 | 17 | 65 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 33 | 22 | 61 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | -12 | 36 |
| 11 | Groningen | 33 | -13 | 36 |
| 12 | Cambuur | 33 | -18 | 36 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 21.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
55.5% ( -3.18) | 23.29% ( 1.39) | 21.21% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 52.64% ( -1.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.59% ( -3.62) | 47.41% ( 3.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.38% ( -3.45) | 69.63% ( 3.45) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.08% ( -2.33) | 16.92% ( 2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.01% ( -4.3) | 46.99% ( 4.31) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.37% ( -0.24) | 36.64% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.58% ( -0.24) | 73.42% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Groningen |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.79) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.56)3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.52)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.49)4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.46)4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.26)5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.26)Other @ 2.07% Total : 55.5% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.73) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.89)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.86) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.33)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.13)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 39 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 23 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 20 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 13 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 12 |
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