SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Montevideo City Torque | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 15 | -16 | 12 |
| 15 | Cerrito | 15 | -13 | 11 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | River Plate | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 9 | Montevideo Wanderers | 15 | 5 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | -2 | 20 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 35.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Montevideo Wanderers in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 35.41% | 25.34% | 39.26% |
| Both teams to score 56.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.68% | 47.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.46% | 69.55% |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% | 25.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.07% | 60.93% |
| Montevideo Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.18% | 23.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42% | 58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.34% 2-1 @ 8.07% 2-0 @ 5.63% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-2 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.37% Total : 35.41% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 6.18% 2-2 @ 5.79% 3-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 8.86% 1-2 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.36% 1-3 @ 4.1% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 2.77% 1-4 @ 1.47% 0-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 2% Total : 39.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 42 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 26 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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