May 28, 2022 at 7pm UK at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo
1 - 2
Liverpool
Ergas (86')
Bentaberry (27'), Max (34'), Lima (63')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Medina (44' pen.), Carneiro (62')
Carneiro (71')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Liverpool.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 46.83%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.41%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Liverpool |
25.53% ( -0.51) | 27.64% ( -0.14) | 46.83% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 44.8% ( -0.04) |
| 39.92% ( 0.15) | 60.08% ( -0.16) |
| 19.7% ( 0.12) | 80.3% ( -0.12) |
| 60.32% ( -0.37) | 39.68% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.64% ( -0.34) | 76.36% ( 0.34) |
| 74.27% ( 0.39) | 25.72% ( -0.39) |
