Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.59) 
-0.24) 
