Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 44.46%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.