Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santos would win this match.
