Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
