Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Santos had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.56%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
