Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (11.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
