Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
