Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 62.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 14.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
