Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bragantino in this match.
