Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 50.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
