Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
