Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a America Mineiro win with a probability of 43.72%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 27.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an America Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-0 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
