Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 44.9%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Internacional had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Internacional win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
