Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 18.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
