Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Bahia win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Internacional in this match.
