Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 46.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
