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Tuesday, March 25
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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadionul CPTF
EN

Moldova
2 - 3
Estonia

Nicolaescu (67'), Caimacov (90+1')
Baboglo (48'), Nicolaescu (51'), Rata (63')
Cojocaru (5')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peetson (19'), Sappinen (30'), Kait (70')
Peetson (35'), Palumets (44'), Kait (82'), Ainsalu (90+2')
Palumets (48')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We said: Moldova 1-1 Estonia

Not one of the previous five meetings between Moldova and Estonia has seen more than one goal scored, so entertainment value should be at a minimum between the two whipping boys of Group I. Hein and Soomets's blows will no doubt harm the Blueshirts' hopes of getting off the mark at the second attempt, though, and we have faith in Moldova to end their 10-game losing run in World Cup Qualifying and claim a point with a gritty defensive display. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Moldova win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw has a probability of 24.4% and a win for Estonia has a probability of 16.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Estonia win it is 0-1 (6.86%).

Result
MoldovaDrawEstonia
58.83% (-0.944 -0.94) 24.41% (0.317 0.32) 16.76% (0.629 0.63)
Both teams to score 42.25% (0.351 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56% (-0.206 -0.21)57.44% (0.208 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75% (-0.163 -0.16)78.24% (0.16500000000001 0.17)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-0.43400000000001 -0.43)19.41% (0.436 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.76% (-0.721 -0.72)51.24% (0.723 0.72)
Estonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.43% (0.714 0.71)47.57% (-0.712 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.09% (0.524 0.52)82.91% (-0.521 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 58.82%
    Estonia 16.76%
    Draw 24.4%
MoldovaDrawEstonia
1-0 @ 15.13% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 12.4% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.78% (-0.232 -0.23)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.87% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 58.82%
1-1 @ 11.24% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 9.24% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.191 0.19)
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.142 0.14)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 1.04% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.76%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Moldova 0-5 Norway
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Moldova
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 1-0 Moldova
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Israel 2-1 Estonia
Saturday, March 22 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 0-0 Estonia
Saturday, November 16 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 3-1 Azerbaijan
Friday, October 11 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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