Sweden have only won three of their 10 away Nations League matches, but we still believe that they will take three points from Monday's fixture, having won each of their previous five meetings with Estonia, including a 5-0 victory in their most recent away encounter in September 2023. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Estonia has a probability of 23.38% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Estonia win is 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.13%).

Result
Estonia	Draw	Sweden
23.38% ( -0.06)	22.1% ( 0.2)	54.52% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 59.61% (

-0.79)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-1.01)

39.57% (

1.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-1.06)

61.92% (

1.07)

Estonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.72% (

-0.61)

30.28% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.55% (

-0.73)

66.45% (

0.74)

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

-0.39)

14.5% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.49% (

-0.75)

42.51% (

0.76)

Score Analysis

Estonia 23.38%

Sweden 54.52%

Draw 22.1%

Estonia	Draw	Sweden
2-1 @ 6.05% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 23.38%	1-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.1%	1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 8.19% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 6.29% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 5.27% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.08) 1-5 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.2% Total : 54.52%