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MN
Moldova national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadionul CPTF
NN
Norway national football team

Moldova
0 - 5
Norway


Rata (78')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Ryerson (5'), Haaland (23'), Aasgaard (38'), Sorloth (43'), Donnum (69')
Ajer (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Last Game: Norway 5-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

We said: Moldova 0-3 Norway

Both nations will enter Saturday's contest in high spirits considering how they ended 2024, but it is Norway who will be regarded as firm favourites to come out on top. Moldova have somewhat frustrated Norway at times in the past, but that was before the emergence of Norwegian stars including Haaland, who the hosts may have difficulty stopping this time around if he is firing on all cylinders. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Norway win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Moldova has a probability of 35.71% and a draw has a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norway win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Moldova win is 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.64%).

Result
MoldovaDrawNorway
35.71% (1.635 1.64) 26.59% (0.142 0.14) 37.7% (-1.776 -1.78)
Both teams to score 52.21% (-0.244 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.28% (-0.409 -0.41)52.72% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.64% (-0.351 -0.35)74.36% (0.352 0.35)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.813 0.81)28.33% (-0.81 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (1.013 1.01)64.05% (-1.012 -1.01)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.85% (-1.179 -1.18)27.15% (1.181 1.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.45% (-1.564 -1.56)62.55% (1.566 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 35.71%
    Norway 37.69%
    Draw 26.59%
MoldovaDrawNorway
1-0 @ 9.7% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 6.12% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 3.35% (0.165 0.17)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.208 0.21)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.71%
1-1 @ 12.64% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.69% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.59%
0-1 @ 10.02% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.341 -0.34)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.84% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.17% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 37.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gibraltar 1-1 Moldova
Tuesday, November 19 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Moldova
Saturday, November 16 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 1-0 Moldova
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Andorra
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 1-0 San Marino
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 5-0 Kazakhstan
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-4 Norway
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Austria 5-1 Norway
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 3-0 Slovenia
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Norway 2-1 Austria
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-0 Norway
Friday, September 6 at 3pm in Nations League


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