SM
| Current League D2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Moldova | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Malta | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Andorra | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moldova win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Andorra had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moldova win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.2%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Andorra win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Moldova in this match.
| Result | ||
| Andorra | Draw | Moldova |
29.68% ( -0.24) | 29.43% ( -0.08) | 40.89% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 42.61% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.95% ( 0.18) | 64.05% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.78% ( 0.13) | 83.22% ( -0.13) |
| Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.09) | 38.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -0.09) | 75.16% ( 0.09) |
| Moldova Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.18% ( 0.28) | 30.82% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( 0.33) | 67.09% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Andorra | Draw | Moldova |
| 1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.07)1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.28% Total : 40.89% |
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