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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2025 at 5pm UK
S. Dariaus ir S. Gireno stadionas
FN

Lithuania
2 - 2
Finland

Kucys (39'), Gineitis (69')
Girdvainis (15'), Gineitis (70'), Milasius (73')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Kairinen (3'), Pohjanpalo (17' pen.)
Tenho (42'), Ivanov (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe

We said: Lithuania 1-2 Finland

The onus will be on Finland to attack, as they must keep compiling points against Group G's minnows if they are to make it through to the World Cup playoffs. While Lithuania may be able to exploit any space, an overall deficit of quality in key areas should result in yet another defeat - their ninth in a row. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lithuania win with a probability of 35.66%. A win for Finland has a probability of 35.48% and a draw has a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lithuania win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (7.48%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Finland win is 0-1 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.36%).

Result
LithuaniaDrawFinland
35.66% (-0.922 -0.92) 28.85% (0.292 0.29) 35.48% (0.627 0.63)
Both teams to score 45.29% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.68% (-1.02 -1.02)61.32% (1.016 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.77% (-0.767 -0.77)81.23% (0.76299999999999 0.76)
Lithuania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-1.115 -1.11)32.64% (1.112 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-1.266 -1.27)69.19% (1.263 1.26)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.24% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)32.76% (0.113 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.68% (-0.129 -0.13)69.32% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Lithuania 35.66%
    Finland 35.48%
    Draw 28.85%
LithuaniaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 11.97% (0.09 0.09)
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.197 -0.2)
2-0 @ 6.7% (-0.155 -0.16)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-0 @ 2.5% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.66%
1-1 @ 13.36% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 10.69% (0.4 0.4)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.85%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.41 0.41)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.66% (0.21 0.21)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (0.07 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 35.48%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Lithuania
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Kosovo 1-0 Lithuania
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Cyprus 2-1 Lithuania
Friday, November 15 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Romania
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Lithuania 1-2 Kosovo
Saturday, October 12 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: Romania 3-1 Lithuania
Monday, September 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 0-1 Finland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in World Cup Qualifying - Europe
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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