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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 21, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Ta'Qali National Stadium
FN

Malta
vs.
Finland

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Malta 0-0 Andorra
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

We say: Malta 2-0 Finland

Malta have been exceptional at the back, and they could have success against Finland's struggling forward line. The visitors have also been poor away from home, and their form on the road should make the hosts clear favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Malta win with a probability of 52.14%. A draw has a probability of 26.8% and a win for Finland has a probability of 21.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Finland win it is 0-1 (8.45%).

Result
MaltaDrawFinland
52.14% (0.533 0.53) 26.77% (-0.488 -0.49) 21.08% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 42.67% (1.124 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.5% (1.495 1.5)60.5% (-1.497 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38% (1.116 1.12)80.62% (-1.117 -1.12)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.58% (0.896 0.9)23.42% (-0.896 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.58% (1.282 1.28)57.42% (-1.282 -1.28)
Finland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.73% (0.826 0.83)44.27% (-0.827 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.65% (0.665 0.66)80.35% (-0.667 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Malta 52.14%
    Finland 21.08%
    Draw 26.77%
MaltaDrawFinland
1-0 @ 15.05% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-0 @ 10.92% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.17 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.28% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.31% (0.192 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.75% (0.116 0.12)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 52.14%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 10.37% (-0.59 -0.59)
2-2 @ 3.63% (0.15 0.15)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-2 @ 5% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.062 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Malta 0-0 Andorra
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 2-0 Liechtenstein
Thursday, November 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Malta 1-0 Moldova
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Andorra 0-1 Malta
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Moldova 2-0 Malta
Saturday, September 7 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Malta 0-2 Greece
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Finland 0-2 Greece
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Rep. Ireland 1-0 Finland
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-3 England
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Rep. Ireland
Thursday, October 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: England 2-0 Finland
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Greece 3-0 Finland
Saturday, September 7 at 7.45pm in Nations League


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