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Women's Super League | Gameweek 17
Mar 23, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City
vs.
Chelsea

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League

We say: Manchester City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women

Man City will be looking to build upon Wednesday's successful outing against Chelsea, but we think that they will have to settle for a draw in Sunday's WSL fixture, especially as the Blues have avoided defeat in each of their last 10 matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Manchester City Women has a probability of 34.21% and a draw has a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win is 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.3%).

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
34.21% (-0.311 -0.31) 24.39% (-0.125 -0.13) 41.4% (0.436 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.55% (0.374 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (0.518 0.52)43.16% (-0.518 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (0.509 0.51)65.56% (-0.509 -0.51)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.066999999999993 0.07)24.66% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.81% (0.091999999999999 0.09)59.18% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04% (0.425 0.42)20.96% (-0.426 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29% (0.661 0.66)53.7% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 34.21%
    Chelsea Women 41.4%
    Draw 24.38%
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 7.91% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 7.24% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.06% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (0.026 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.36% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 34.21%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.043 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.5% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 8.84% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.6% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.29% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.22% (0.063 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.8% (0.055 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.26% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 41.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, March 5 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Man City
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Liverpool
Sunday, February 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 3-4 Arsenal
Sunday, February 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Man City
Saturday, January 25 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 19 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Chelsea
Sunday, March 2 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Everton
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea
Sunday, February 2 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League


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