SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Women win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.93%). The likeliest Manchester City Women win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
40.17% ( -2.12) | 21.92% ( 0.15) | 37.91% ( 1.97) |
| Both teams to score 69.67% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.49) | 30.26% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.49% ( -0.59) | 51.5% ( 0.59) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.93% ( -1.01) | 16.07% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.55% ( -1.88) | 45.45% ( 1.88) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( 0.64) | 16.99% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.89% ( 1.12) | 47.11% ( -1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.22)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.21)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.74% Total : 40.17% | 1-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.6% Total : 21.92% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.22)1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.15)2-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.08)3-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.34% Total : 37.91% |
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