SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 73.03%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur Women had a probability of 11.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.73%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur Women win it was 1-2 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Women |
73.03% ( -0.25) | 15.36% ( 0.1) | 11.61% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.94% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.25% ( -0.06) | 28.75% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.33% ( -0.08) | 49.67% ( 0.08) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.19% ( -0.06) | 6.81% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.9% ( -0.17) | 25.1% ( 0.17) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( 0.21) | 36.75% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( 0.2) | 73.54% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Women | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur Women |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.09% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.46% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 73.03% | 1-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 15.36% | 1-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.84% Total : 11.61% |
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