SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 74.41%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Manchester City Women had a probability of 11.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 3-0 (6.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.33%), while for a Manchester City Women win it was 1-2 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
74.41% ( 0.71) | 13.94% ( 0.03) | 11.64% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 65.87% ( -2.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 79.01% ( -2.18) | 20.99% ( 2.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 60.51% ( -3.12) | 39.49% ( 3.12) |
| Barcelona Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.14% ( -0.36) | 4.86% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 80.44% ( -1.12) | 19.56% ( 1.12) |
| Manchester City Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( -2.79) | 30.76% ( 2.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.97% ( -3.41) | 67.03% ( 3.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona Women | Draw | Manchester City Women |
| 3-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.35)3-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.64)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.79)4-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 4.79% ( -0.29)1-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.62)5-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.32)5-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.25)6-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.25)6-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.16)Other @ 5.18% Total : 74.41% | 1-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.27)0-0 @ 1.5% ( 0.24)Other @ 0.49% Total : 13.94% | 1-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.22)0-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 11.64% |
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