MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 02:26:15
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Man City vs. Chelsea: 17 hrs 33 mins
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Women's Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 19, 2025 at 8pm UK
Moi Stadium

Man City
vs.
Chelsea

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League

We say: Manchester City Women 1-1 Chelsea Women

Man City will be desperate to make full use of home advantage ahead of next week's return leg, but we think that their 100% European home record will come to an end with a draw against a Chelsea side that are yet to lose since Bompastor took over the reins last summer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City Women win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Chelsea Women has a probability of 37.31% and a draw has a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Women win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win is 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.73%).

Result
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
37.68% (-1.219 -1.22) 25.01% (-0.338 -0.34) 37.31% (1.555 1.56)
Both teams to score 57.74% (1.298 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.31% (1.632 1.63)45.69% (-1.635 -1.64)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (1.534 1.53)68.01% (-1.534 -1.53)
Manchester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.08% (0.094000000000008 0.09)23.92% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.86% (0.134 0.13)58.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.89% (1.615 1.62)24.11% (-1.618 -1.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.59% (2.245 2.25)58.41% (-2.248 -2.25)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Women 37.68%
    Chelsea Women 37.31%
    Draw 25%
Manchester City WomenDrawChelsea Women
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.564 -0.56)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.386 -0.39)
3-1 @ 4% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 37.68%
1-1 @ 11.73% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.177 0.18)
0-0 @ 5.77% (-0.412 -0.41)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.104 0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25%
1-2 @ 8.35% (0.225 0.23)
0-1 @ 8.2% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.142 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.96% (0.283 0.28)
2-3 @ 2.83% (0.21 0.21)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.191 0.19)
1-4 @ 1.41% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.117 0.12)
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 37.31%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Ham 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, March 5 at 7pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Spurs 1-2 Man City
Sunday, March 2 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Liverpool
Sunday, February 16 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 3-4 Arsenal
Sunday, February 2 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-4 Man City
Saturday, January 25 at 12pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Man City 2-4 Man Utd
Sunday, January 19 at 6.45pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-1 Leicester
Wednesday, March 5 at 7.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Brighton 2-2 Chelsea
Sunday, March 2 at 3pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 Everton
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea
Sunday, February 2 at 2.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Arsenal
Sunday, January 26 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: West Ham 0-5 Chelsea
Sunday, January 19 at 3pm in Women's Super League


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