Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
15.83% (![]() | 17.45% (![]() | 66.71% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.27% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.14% (![]() | 28.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.19% (![]() | 49.81% (![]() |
Aston Villa Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.83% (![]() | 31.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.5% (![]() | 67.5% (![]() |
Chelsea Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.92% (![]() | 8.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.58% (![]() | 28.42% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
2-1 @ 4.31% (![]() 1-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 1.71% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.67% ( ![]() Other @ 3.1% Total : 15.83% | 1-1 @ 7.39% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.45% | 1-2 @ 9.29% (![]() 0-2 @ 7.97% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 7.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 4.9% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.54% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() 1-6 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.99% Total : 66.71% |
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