SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 66.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 15.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.97%) and 1-3 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.39%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 2-1 (4.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
15.83% ( -0.06) | 17.45% ( 0.02) | 66.71% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 63.27% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.14% ( -0.22) | 28.86% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.19% ( -0.27) | 49.81% ( 0.27) |
| Aston Villa Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.83% ( -0.21) | 31.16% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.5% ( -0.24) | 67.5% ( 0.24) |
| Chelsea Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.92% ( -0.05) | 8.08% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.58% ( -0.12) | 28.42% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aston Villa Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
| 2-1 @ 4.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 15.83% | 1-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.45% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 7.79% ( -0)0-3 @ 6.68% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 4.9% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.86% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 2.11% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.02)1-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.99% Total : 66.71% |
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