Aston Villa Women 0-1 Chelsea Women - Women's FA Cup Semi-Finals - Football

Chelsea will go into the semi-final as the favourites, and after claiming a comfortable victory over Aston Villa before the international break, we think that they will have the confidence and belief required to record another win over the Villans on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Women win with a probability of 80.97%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 6.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Women win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.32%) and 0-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.95%), while for an Aston Villa Women win it was 1-0 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea Women would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
6.47% ( 0.08)	12.56% ( -0.06)	80.97% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.9% (

0.73)

33.09% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.17% (

0.83)

54.83% (

-0.83)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.99% (

0.78)

51% (

-0.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.65% (

0.52)

85.34% (

-0.52)

Chelsea Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.75% (

0.14)

6.25% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.42% (

0.4)

23.57% (

-0.4)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 6.47%

Chelsea Women 80.96%

Draw 12.56%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Chelsea Women
1-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 6.47%	1-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.65% Total : 12.56%	0-2 @ 12.25% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 11.32% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 7.62% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 5.29% ( 0.09) 0-5 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.93% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 0-6 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.07) 1-6 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.56% Total : 80.96%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Manchester City Man City	37	28	5	4	94	32	62	89
2	Arsenal	37	25	6	6	83	43	40	81
3	Manchester United Man Utd	37	22	6	9	56	42	14	72
4	Newcastle United Newcastle	37	19	13	5	67	32	35	70
5	Liverpool	37	19	9	9	71	43	28	66
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	37	18	8	11	71	51	20	62
7	Aston Villa	37	17	7	13	49	45	4	58
8	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	37	17	6	14	66	62	4	57
9	Brentford	37	14	14	9	57	46	11	56
10	Fulham	37	15	7	15	54	51	3	52
11	Crystal Palace	37	11	11	15	39	48	-9	44
12	Chelsea	37	11	10	16	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	37	11	8	18	31	53	-22	41
14	West Ham United West Ham	37	11	7	19	41	53	-12	40
15	Bournemouth	37	11	6	20	37	70	-33	39
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	37	9	10	18	37	67	-30	37
17	Everton	37	7	12	18	33	57	-24	33
18	Leicester City Leicester	37	8	7	22	49	67	-18	31
19	Leeds United Leeds	37	7	10	20	47	74	-27	31
R	Southampton	37	6	6	25	32	69	-37	24

Form, Standings, Stats