SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bala Town had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.78%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Bala Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | The New Saints |
17.03% ( 0.01) | 21.34% ( 0) | 61.63% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.64% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( 0.01) | 45.11% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( 0) | 67.46% ( -0.01) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( 0.01) | 39.88% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.46% ( 0.01) | 76.54% ( -0.01) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.89% ( -0) | 14.11% ( -0) |
