SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 57.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.55%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Connah's Quay Nomads win it was 1-0 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Connah's Quay Nomads | Draw | The New Saints |
18.19% ( -1.56) | 24.08% ( -0.39) | 57.73% ( 1.96) |
| Both teams to score 45.59% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.63% ( -0.48) | 54.37% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.26% ( -0.4) | 75.74% ( 0.4) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.05% ( -2.08) | 43.95% ( 2.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.91% ( -1.76) | 80.09% ( 1.76) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.34% ( 0.56) | 18.66% ( -0.56) |
