SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Boston River |
30.76% ( -0.14) | 27% ( 0.22) | 42.24% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 49.73% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.67% ( -0.88) | 55.33% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.45% ( -0.73) | 76.54% ( 0.72) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.56) | 32.9% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( -0.62) | 69.47% ( 0.61) |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -0.45) | 25.88% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -0.6) | 60.87% ( 0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plaza Colonia | Draw | Boston River |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.76% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.24% |
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