Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 39.33%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest La Luz win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.18) 
