Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for La Luz had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest La Luz win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
1.46) 
-2.24) 
