Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 48.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (8.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
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