Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.15) 
