Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Danubio had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Danubio win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Liverpool in this match.
-0.52) 
0.22) 
