Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Boston River win was 1-0 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
