Penarol
2 - 0
Cerrito
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ferreira (34'), William Marcenaro Nieves (84')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Cerrito.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 57.41%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 18.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Cerrito |
| 57.41% | 24.04% | 18.55% |
| Both teams to score 46.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
