Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerrito win with a probability of 45.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerrito win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
