Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 62.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Rentistas had a probability of 16.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.38%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.2%), while for a Rentistas win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
