Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.63%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
