Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 46.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 26.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
