Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Cerro.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
